Election Prediction Project
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British General Election
Strangford

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Ulster Unionists:
David M. McNarry
Social Democratic & Labour:
Danny McCarthy
Sinn Fein:
Democratic Unionist:
Iris Robinson MLA
Alliance Party:
Kieran J. McCarthy MLA
NIUP:
Cedric G. Wilson MLA

Incumbent:
Rt Hon John D Taylor

97 Result:
18,43144.29%
2,7756.67%
5031.21%
12,57930.22%
1,7434.19%
5,46713.14%
Total Vote Count
41619
Submissions
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09/04/01 Nicholas Whyte Email: explorers@whyte.com
For a full profile of this seat see my site at http://explorers.whyte.com/str.htm
If the DUP are to gain any seat in this election, it will be Strangford. Failure to do so will be a major political reverse for the party. Having said that, they have always been perpetually on the verge of outpolling the UUP here, and have never quite done so - yet.
06/06/01 IJP Email:
Too close to call. This seat has always been projected to go to the DUP, but it never actually does! The NIUP may take crucial votes from the DUP, and McNarry's Orange credentials also count in his favour. However, one wonders who he will fare down the Peninsula, where Robinson is likely to score strongly. McNarry's uncertain stance on the Agreement is unlikely to play as big a part as people might think, but he is not so well known in some areas of the constituency and a low turnout would mean defeat for him.

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Last Updated 7 June 2001
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