Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Thurrock

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Andrew S. Mackinlay
Conservative Party:
Michael Penning
Liberal Democratic Party:
John Lathan

Incumbent:
Andrew Mackinlay

97 Result:
Andrew MacKinlay
29,89663.3%
Andrew Rosindell
12,64026.8%
Joe White
3,8438.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
47,21265.94%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
24,79145.9%
23,61943.7%
5,1459.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
54,06378.1%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1621.5%
16-2413.7%
25-3924.4%
40-6523.5%
65 <17.0%

Ethnic Origin:
White97.3%
Black0.6%
Indian/Pakistani1.2%
Other non-white0.9%

Employment:
Full Time66.4%
Part Time13.5%
Self Employed9.0%
Government Schemes0.7%
Unemployed10.4%

Household SEG:
I - Professional2.8%
II - Managerial/Technical21.3%
III - Skilled (non-manual)15.0%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)34.0%
IV - Partly Skilled18.0%
V - Unskilled7.0%

Misc:
Own Residence64.4%
Rent Residence34.4%
Own Car(s)71.1%
Submissions
Submit Information here

26/04/01 JR Email:robertsat13@cwcom.net
A traditional Labour stronghold - Labour even managed to hold it in a byelection in 1976 when the then Labour Government was at a very low ebb. However, like the East End of London, from where many of its residents originally come, it swung heavily to the Tories and away from a hard-left dominated Labour party in the eighties. Tim Jarman, a right-wing Thatcherite, won it for the Tories in 1987. He was however turfed out after one term, by Labour's Andrew Mackinlay. Mackinlay is a fully fledged maverick and member of the awkward squad who's popular with the media and his constituents, but less so with his colleagues - he came a very poor third in the ballot for Chairman of the PLP (Labour's parliamentary caucus). At any rate, normal service has been resumed here in South Essex and the 18000 Labour majority is rock solid.

Submit Information here
Back to Eastern Index
Back to British General Election Prediction Index
Last Updated 29 April 2001
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

Email Webmaster