Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Suffolk Coastal

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Nigel Gardner
Conservative Party:
Rt. Hon. John S. Gummer
Liberal Democratic Party:
Tony Schur
UK Independence Party:
Michael Burn

Incumbent:
Rt Hon John Gummer

97 Result:
Mark Campbell
18,44232.8%
John Gummer
21,69638.6%
Alexandra Jones
12,03621.4%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
56,25675.80%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
13,32523.3%
30,03052.4%
13,00822.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
57,28481.8%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.4%
16-2411.3%
25-3920.1%
40-6525.6%
65 <23.6%

Ethnic Origin:
White97.6%
Black1.2%
Indian/Pakistani0.2%
Other non-white0.9%

Employment:
Full Time64.0%
Part Time16.6%
Self Employed13.0%
Government Schemes1.3%
Unemployed5.1%

Household SEG:
I - Professional7.1%
II - Managerial/Technical31.4%
III - Skilled (non-manual)12.2%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)23.3%
IV - Partly Skilled11.6%
V - Unskilled6.0%

Misc:
Own Residence69.5%
Rent Residence24.6%
Own Car(s)77.8%
Submissions
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14/05/01 J Smith Email:
Based on polling numbers, Labour is in the game in this race. They weren't really that close last time but are able to win this time. Labour can win, but Conservatives are still in this one. Too Close to call at this time.
05/06/01 Marcus Email:marcus.mansukhani@cramersystems.com
Although I'm a Labour supported, I'll be quite happy to see John Gummer retained as one of the few pro-Europe Tories. I think the work he has personally done will see him through... Even without my vote :)

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Last Updated 7 June 2001
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© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

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