Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Norwich North

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Dr. Ian Gibson
Conservative Party:
Kay Mason
Liberal Democratic Party:
Moira Toye
Green Party:
Robert Tinch

Incumbent:
Dr Ian Gibson

97 Result:
Ian Gibson
27,34649.7%
Robert Kinghorn
17,87632.5%
Paul Young
6,95112.6%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
55,05775.92%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
23,28840.3%
25,55844.2%
8,46214.6%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
57,85180.6%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1618.1%
16-2412.9%
25-3921.0%
40-6527.8%
65 <20.1%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.0%
Black0.2%
Indian/Pakistani0.2%
Other non-white0.6%

Employment:
Full Time63.9%
Part Time18.5%
Self Employed9.8%
Government Schemes1.1%
Unemployed6.6%

Household SEG:
I - Professional3.2%
II - Managerial/Technical27.6%
III - Skilled (non-manual)16.8%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)30.8%
IV - Partly Skilled13.2%
V - Unskilled5.2%

Misc:
Own Residence68.8%
Rent Residence29.7%
Own Car(s)72.0%
Submissions
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12/05/01 N Starling Email:
I don't think he is a particularly good MP and I would love to see Moira Toye (Lib Dem ) win, but I think Ian Gibson has done a very good job of courting the press in recent months. Given that Labour even won the seat at the Euros, I would ignore the local election results and say Gibson will win it on a personal vote. Also, the Tory has made the news recently for apparently breaking planning rules, so she is hardly likely to endoear herself to the electorate.

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Last Updated 14 May 2001
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