Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Stevenage

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
D. Barbara Follett
Conservative Party:
Graeme Quar
Liberal Democratic Party:
Harold Davies

Incumbent:
Ms Barbara Follett

97 Result:
Barbara Follett
28,44055.3%
Timothy Wood
16,85832.8%
Alex Wilcock
4,5888.9%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
51,38676.82%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
21,15938.6%
24,07843.9%
9,37917.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
54,83681.8%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1622.1%
16-2412.8%
25-3925.2%
40-6525.1%
65 <14.8%

Ethnic Origin:
White96.6%
Black1.0%
Indian/Pakistani1.3%
Other non-white1.2%

Employment:
Full Time66.7%
Part Time14.9%
Self Employed9.4%
Government Schemes0.8%
Unemployed8.3%

Household SEG:
I - Professional9.6%
II - Managerial/Technical31.6%
III - Skilled (non-manual)15.5%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)25.8%
IV - Partly Skilled13.5%
V - Unskilled3.0%

Misc:
Own Residence57.5%
Rent Residence41.3%
Own Car(s)73.1%
Submissions
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20/04/01 JR Email:robertsat13@cwcom.net
The archetypal South-Eastern new town that backed the Tories in the Eighties and swung so violently to Labour last time. The Tories have learned nothing, changed nothing and achieved nothing since the last election and will probably not win back the trust of people in towns like this. In a local byelection in a ward in this constituency a few weeks back there was a 35% swing to Labour. I think Barbara Follett could increase her majority.

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Last Updated 20 April 2001
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© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

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