Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Luton North

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Kelvin P. Hopkins
Conservative Party:
Amanda Sater
Liberal Democratic Party:
Robert C.H. Hoyle
UK Independence Party:
Colin D. Brown

Incumbent:
Kelvin Hopkins

97 Result:
Kelvin Hopkins
25,86054.6%
David Senior
16,23434.3%
Kathryn Newbound
4,2999.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
47,33273.25%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
19,49637.2%
26,85351.2%
5,31110.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
52,41081.2%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1623.6%
16-2414.0%
25-3924.2%
40-6525.5%
65 <12.7%

Ethnic Origin:
White82.6%
Black5.6%
Indian/Pakistani10.0%
Other non-white1.9%

Employment:
Full Time67.2%
Part Time13.4%
Self Employed9.3%
Government Schemes0.7%
Unemployed9.4%

Household SEG:
I - Professional5.5%
II - Managerial/Technical26.5%
III - Skilled (non-manual)14.0%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)30.3%
IV - Partly Skilled17.8%
V - Unskilled4.3%

Misc:
Own Residence76.6%
Rent Residence22.7%
Own Car(s)73.9%
Submissions
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20/04/01 JR Email:robertsat13@cwcom.net
BBC's Newsnight programme show regular focus groups from Luton and they're always overwhelmingly pro-Labour (I thought the people on it were Labour ringers once!). Kelvin Hopkins to win by about the same margin as last time.

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Last Updated 20 April 2001
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